Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.011590 0.014100 0.017275 0.021692 0.027855 0.036445 0.049918
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.008427 0.011136 0.015021 0.021318 0.031994 0.051081 0.093261
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.006555 0.009058 0.012906 0.019735 0.032868 0.060949 0.143975
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.005461 0.007795 0.011572 0.018764 0.034094 0.072550 0.226386
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004815 0.007074 0.010902 0.018687 0.037048 0.091684 0.412850
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004407 0.006652 0.010630 0.019262 0.041896 0.123776 0.964984
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.004022 0.006200 0.010197 0.019342 0.045584 0.159609 2.562371
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003615 0.005649 0.009467 0.018516 0.046158 0.183981 6.476838
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003320 0.005260 0.008990 0.018164 0.048164 0.223937 36.799833
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003179 0.005137 0.009027 0.019125 0.055727 0.337187 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003100 0.005116 0.009274 0.020750 0.067846 0.600634 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003022 0.005088 0.009500 0.022423 0.082745 1.203762 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002816 0.004804 0.009151 0.022417 0.090441 2.086001 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002611 0.004501 0.008715 0.022025 0.096107 3.676114 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002370 0.004100 0.007979 0.020370 0.091225 4.248256 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002187 0.003803 0.007463 0.019356 0.090365 6.005222 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002067 0.003628 0.007223 0.019275 0.097245 15.246604 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001987 0.003531 0.007166 0.019875 0.111964 171.193439 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001895 0.003397 0.006992 0.019959 0.122644 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001777 0.003197 0.006615 0.019096 0.121505 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001687 0.003052 0.006371 0.018729 0.126316 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001650 0.003021 0.006433 0.019733 0.153425 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001633 0.003034 0.006622 0.021431 0.202658 NaN NaN